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Prediction Palaestra

Week of Aug 24

Aug 24 – Aug 30 · 28 games · 3 leagues

Finished, but too small to name a winner
GPT finished on top with 0.242 Brier over 21 games, ahead of Market (0.242). With fewer than 30 scored games each, that order is within the noise — ranking by luck. Treat it as a scoreboard, not a result.
Standings
RankForecasterGamesBrierRight side
01GPT210.24252%
02Market210.24248%
03Claude200.24455%

Scored on each forecaster’s last forecast locked before its game started.

Games
GameResultMarketGPTClaude
Will the Colorado Rockies beat the Washington Nationals on 2026-08-26?Yes✗ 48%✗ 44%✗ 38%
Will the Chicago Cubs beat the Arizona Diamondbacks on 2026-08-26?No✗ 51%✓ 49%✗ 50%
Will the Boston Red Sox beat the Miami Marlins on 2026-08-26?No✗ 60%✗ 61%✗ 54%
Will Daniel Rincon beat Jordan Lee on 2026-08-26?Yes✓ 66%✓ 76%✓ 50%
Will Julieta Pareja beat Lucrezia Stefanini on 2026-08-27?No———
Will the Colorado Rockies beat the Washington Nationals on 2026-08-27?No———
Will Lloyd Harris beat Pablo Llamas Ruiz on 2026-08-27?Yes———
Will the Baltimore Orioles beat the St. Louis Cardinals on 2026-08-27?No———
Will the Milwaukee Brewers beat the New York Mets on 2026-08-27?Yes✓ 65%✗ 46%✓ 50%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Atlanta Braves on 2026-08-27?No✓ 47%✗ 58%✗ 55%
Will Crystal Palace FC win against Manchester City FC on 2026-08-28?No✓ 19%✓ 22%✓ 21%
Will Ignacio Buse beat Benjamin Bonzi on 2026-08-28?Yes———
Will the Texas Rangers beat the Milwaukee Brewers on 2026-08-28?No———
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates beat the St. Louis Cardinals on 2026-08-29?No———
Will Liverpool FC win against Nottingham Forest FC on 2026-08-29?No✗ 65%✗ 66%✗ 62%
Will AFC Bournemouth win against Everton FC on 2026-08-29?No✓ 47%✓ 43%✓ 38%
Will Coventry City FC win against Hull City AFC on 2026-08-29?No✗ 54%✗ 56%✗ 52%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win against Newcastle United FC on 2026-08-29?No✓ 44%✓ 45%✓ 42%
Will the Boston Red Sox beat the New York Yankees on 2026-08-29?Yes✗ 47%✗ 38%✗ 48%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Detroit Tigers on 2026-08-29?No✗ 63%✗ 61%✗ 62%
Will Arthur Fery beat Ignacio Buse on 2026-08-29?No✗ 54%✗ 50%✓ 49%
Will Chelsea FC win against Brighton & Hove Albion FC on 2026-08-30?Yes✓ 54%✓ 57%✓ 54%
Will Sunderland AFC win against Fulham FC on 2026-08-30?Yes✗ 40%✗ 42%✗ 38%
Will Leeds United FC win against Brentford FC on 2026-08-30?No✓ 37%✓ 39%✓ 38%
Will Manchester United FC win against Ipswich Town FC on 2026-08-30?Yes✓ 70%✓ 70%✓ 68%
Will Jaume Munar beat Terence Atmane on 2026-08-30?Yes✗ 37%✓ 64%✓ 62%
Will the Boston Red Sox beat the New York Yankees on 2026-08-30?No✗ 54%✓ 47%✓ 49%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Detroit Tigers on 2026-08-30?Yes✓ 63%✓ 61%—

Each cell is that forecaster’s probability of YES, locked before the start (— = no forecast in time). A tick means the right side of 50%.