Resolves YES if Arthur Fery wins their match against Ignacio Buse on 2026-08-29, per the official tournament result (Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse). Resolves NO if Ignacio Buse wins. If the match is retired, walked over, or not completed before the deadline, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).
Source: official tournament result
Market 54% · GPT 50% · Claude 49%
No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.
Polymarket YES price as of 2026-08-29T13:56:53.128571Z for: Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse
The best available evidence is the sportsbook consensus, which prices Fery at about 49.2%, essentially a pick’em with Buse a slight favorite. I have no reliable additional information here on surface-specific form, fitness, or recent results that would justify moving far from that baseline. Because retirements/walkovers/non-completions resolve effectively as 50-50 for scoring and I lack contrary evidence, I round to an even 50% subjective chance that Fery wins.
The sportsbook consensus gives Fery approximately 49.2% probability of winning. Both players appear to be relatively evenly matched based on the near-50/50 odds from 3 sportsbooks. Without additional information about current rankings, recent form, or head-to-head history beyond my knowledge cutoff, I'll rely primarily on the sportsbook consensus as the best available signal. The slight edge goes to Buse per the odds, so I'll set my estimate marginally below 50%.
Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.