Resolves YES if Colorado Rockies win their MLB game against New York Yankees on 2026-09-10, per mlb.com official results. Resolves NO if New York Yankees win. If the game is postponed with no makeup before the deadline, or is canceled/tied, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).
Source: mlb.com official results
Market 28% · Claude 27% · GPT 23%
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Polymarket YES price as of 2026-09-10T19:04:07.848562Z for: Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees
The Yankees (83-62) are strong home favorites against the Rockies (55-90). Sportsbook consensus gives Yankees ~77% win probability. Max Fried (Yankees) is a quality starter vs Ryan Feltner (Rockies), favoring New York. The Rockies are one of MLB's worst teams this season. Adjusting slightly from the sportsbook line to account for the house margin embedded in those odds, the true probability of a Rockies win is approximately 23-27%. I'll estimate 0.27.
Colorado is a substantial underdog. The Yankees are 83-62 versus the Rockies at 55-90, and New York is at home. The reference sportsbook consensus implies about a 76.9% Yankees win chance, leaving roughly 23.1% for Colorado. That aligns with the listed starters: Max Fried is a strong edge for New York over Ryan Feltner. With no additional reliable information on lineups or injuries, I stay very close to the market-implied baseline and assign the Rockies a 23% chance.
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