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Sportsdue 2026-09-29Resolved YES

Will George Staines beat Loai Abushaar at Dana White's Contender Series on 2026-09-29?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if George Staines defeats Loai Abushaar in their scheduled bout at Dana White's Contender Series (Lightweight, Main Card) on 2026-09-29, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Loai Abushaar wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).

Source: official UFC result

Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
76%
Challenge the forecasters

Market 76%

50%

No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.

Matchup details
Weight class
Lightweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Sportsbook consensus
77% George Staines (3 books)
George Staines
8-0-0
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Conor McCarthySubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · round 2Jun 2026
  • Wvs Marcelo MarquesDecision - Unanimous · round 3Mar 2026
  • Wvs Ioan HarrisKO/TKO · round 2Dec 2025
  • Wvs Willian BatistaDecision - Unanimous · round 3Sep 2025
  • Wvs Hafeni NafukaDecision - Unanimous · round 3May 2025
Loai Abushaar
7-1-0
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Alejandro QueroSubmission (D'Arce Choke) · round 3Apr 2026
  • Wvs Scottie StockmanKO/TKO · round 1Mar 2026
  • Wvs Edmund KwanKO/TKO · round 1Jul 2025
  • Wvs Joe BoerschigSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · round 1Sep 2024
  • Lvs Kelvin BowenKO/TKO · round 1Aug 2023
Previous meetings
First meeting between these two.
Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
Market
76%
YES

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-09-29T20:23:15.555183Z for: Dana White's Contender Series: George Staines vs. Loai Abushaar (Lightweight, Main Card)

polymarket/4893539 · locked 29 Sep 2026 · 20:25 UTC · Brier 0.060

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.