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Sportsdue 2026-09-29Resolved NO

Will Zaurbek Sabanov beat Adama Diop at Dana White's Contender Series on 2026-09-29?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Zaurbek Sabanov defeats Adama Diop in their scheduled bout at Dana White's Contender Series (Heavyweight, Main Card) on 2026-09-29, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Adama Diop wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).

Source: official UFC result

Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
75%
Challenge the forecasters

Market 75%

50%

No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.

Matchup details
Weight class
Heavyweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Sportsbook consensus
80% Zaurbek Sabanov (2 books)
Zaurbek Sabanov
4-0-0
Last 4 fights
  • Wvs Ivan RomanovKO/TKO · round 1Jun 2026
  • Wvs Giovanni OlakunoriKO/TKO · round 2May 2025
  • Wvs Mamadou Lamine SeneKO/TKO · round 1Jun 2024
  • Wvs Rony BouzyDecision - Unanimous · round 3Feb 2023
Adama Diop
6-1-0
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Matunga DjikasaKO/TKO · round 2Apr 2026
  • Wvs Prince AounallahDecision - Unanimous · round 5Jan 2026
  • Wvs Christophe WalravensKO/TKO · round 1Jul 2025
  • Wvs Paul-Emmanuel GnazeKO/TKO · round 1Mar 2025
  • Wvs Liam BrugereKO/TKO · round 1Jun 2024
Previous meetings
First meeting between these two.
Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
Market
75%
YES

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-09-29T20:21:15.052834Z for: Dana White's Contender Series: Zaurbek Sabanov vs. Adama Diop (Heavyweight, Main Card)

polymarket/4893561 · locked 29 Sep 2026 · 20:25 UTC · Brier 0.563

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.