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Sportsdue 2026-09-29Resolved NO

Will Luca Borando beat Ian Escuza at Dana White's Contender Series on 2026-09-29?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Luca Borando defeats Ian Escuza in their scheduled bout at Dana White's Contender Series (Featherweight, Main Card) on 2026-09-29, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Ian Escuza wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).

Source: official UFC result

Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
49%
Challenge the forecasters

Market 49%

50%

No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.

Matchup details
Weight class
Featherweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Sportsbook consensus
55% Luca Borando (3 books)
Luca Borando
9-1-0
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Leandro CamargoKO/TKO · round 1Jul 2026
  • Wvs Caique AraujoKO/TKO · round 2Apr 2026
  • Wvs Tariel AbbasovKO/TKO · round 1Oct 2025
  • Wvs Jan MasekKO/TKO · round 2May 2025
  • Wvs Nicolae MezdreaKO/TKO · round 3Nov 2024
Ian Escuza
7-0-0
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Octavio LopezKO/TKO · round 1Jun 2026
  • Wvs Nonato JuniorKO/TKO · round 1Dec 2024
  • Wvs Joackim Pedro Neto FerreiraKO/TKO · round 1Jun 2024
  • Wvs Wemerson VitorKO/TKO · round 1Feb 2024
  • Wvs Francisco da SilvaKO/TKO · round 1Dec 2023
Previous meetings
First meeting between these two.
Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
Market
49%
NO

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-09-29T20:21:15.052834Z for: Dana White's Contender Series: Luca Borando vs. Ian Escuza (Featherweight, Main Card)

polymarket/4893580 · locked 29 Sep 2026 · 20:25 UTC · Brier 0.235

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.