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Sportsdue 2026-09-28Resolved YES

Will Gustavo Heide beat Hernan Casanova on 2026-09-28?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Gustavo Heide wins their match against Hernan Casanova on 2026-09-28, per the official tournament result (Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan Casanova). Resolves NO if Hernan Casanova wins. If the match is retired, walked over, or not completed before the deadline, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).

Source: official tournament result

Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
75%
Challenge the forecasters

Market 75%

50%

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Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
Market
75%
YES

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-09-28T03:20:48.605456Z for: Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan Casanova

polymarket/5013926 · locked 28 Sep 2026 · 03:25 UTC · Brier 0.065

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.