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Sportsdue 2026-08-18Resolved NO

Will the Chicago White Sox beat the Chicago Cubs on August 17, 2026?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if the Chicago White Sox win their MLB game against the Chicago Cubs on August 17, 2026, per mlb.com. Resolves NO if the Cubs win. If the game is postponed with no makeup before the deadline, or is canceled/tied, resolves 50-50.

Source: mlb.com official results

Forecast distribution
0%100%
DeepSeek
40%
Market
40%
AI avg
40%
AI consensus
40%
Disagreement
1pp disagreement
Challenge the forecasters

DeepSeek 40% · Market 40%

50%

No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.

Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
DeepSeek
40%
NO

The White Sox were historically bad in 2024 and likely remain below the Cubs by 2026, making them moderate underdogs. Single-game MLB variance and rivalry dynamics keep them from being extreme longshots. Without confirmed venue, rosters, or pitching matchup, I estimate roughly a 40% chance Chicago's AL side wins.

deepseek/deepseek-v4-pro · locked 17 Aug 2026 · 09:24 UTC · Brier 0.160
Market
40%
NO

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-08-17T09:20:05.06448Z for: Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs

polymarket/3514572 · locked 17 Aug 2026 · 09:24 UTC · Brier 0.156

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.