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Sportsdue 2026-09-26Resolved YES

Will Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu beat Mehemmedeli Osmanli at UFC Fight Night on 2026-09-26?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu defeats Mehemmedeli Osmanli in their scheduled bout at UFC Fight Night (Bantamweight, Main Card) on 2026-09-26, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Mehemmedeli Osmanli wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).

Source: official UFC result

Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
27%
Challenge the forecasters

Market 27%

50%

No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.

Matchup details
Weight class
Bantamweight
Scheduled
4 rounds
Venue
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Sportsbook consensus
30% Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu (2 books)
DraftKings line
Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu +230 · Mehemmedeli Osmanli -285
Rounds over/under
1.5
Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu
10-3-0 · line +230
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Mo MillerSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · round 4Dec 2025
  • Wvs Ozodbek BobokulovSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · round 1Oct 2024
  • Lvs Dzhokhar EskievKO/TKO · round 1Aug 2024
  • Lvs Khalim NazruloevKO/TKO · round 2Jan 2024
  • Wvs Gadzhimurad GasanguseinovDecision - Unanimous · round 3Sep 2023
Mehemmedeli Osmanli
12-1-0 · line -285
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Bakhtovar YunusovSubmission (Guillotine) · round 2Nov 2025
  • Wvs Ali YousefiDecision - Unanimous · round 3Sep 2025
  • Wvs Faeez JacobsDecision - Unanimous · round 3Jul 2025
  • Wvs Shamil BoraevSubmission (Anaconda Choke) · round 2Sep 2024
  • Wvs Omar AshourTKO (Punches) · round 2Jun 2024
Previous meetings
First meeting between these two.
Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
Market
27%
NO

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-09-26T18:52:51.962619Z for: UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card)

polymarket/4510280 · locked 26 Sep 2026 · 18:58 UTC · Brier 0.540

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.