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Sportsdue 2026-09-26Resolved NO

Will Ricky Simon beat Montel Jackson at UFC Fight Night on 2026-09-26?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Ricky Simon defeats Montel Jackson in their scheduled bout at UFC Fight Night (Bantamweight, Prelims) on 2026-09-26, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Montel Jackson wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).

Source: official UFC result

Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
33%
Challenge the forecasters

Market 33%

50%

No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.

Matchup details
Weight class
Bantamweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Sportsbook consensus
37% Ricky Simon (3 books)
DraftKings line
Ricky Simon +180 · Montel Jackson -218
Rounds over/under
2.5
Ricky Simon
22-7-1 · line +180
Last 5 fights
  • D/NCvs Adrian YañezDraw · round 3Mar 2026
  • Lvs Raoni BarcelosDecision - Unanimous · round 3Nov 2025
  • Wvs Cameron SmothermanDecision - Unanimous · round 3Jun 2025
  • Wvs Javid BasharatKO/TKO (Punch) · round 1Feb 2025
  • Lvs Vinicius OliveiraDecision - Unanimous · round 3Jun 2024
Montel Jackson
15-4-0 · line -218
Last 5 fights
  • Lvs Raoni BarcelosDecision - Split · round 3Apr 2026
  • Lvs Deiveson FigueiredoDecision - Split · round 3Oct 2025
  • Wvs Daniel MarcosDecision - Unanimous · round 3May 2025
  • Wvs Da'Mon BlackshearKO/TKO (Punch) · round 1Jul 2024
  • Wvs Rani YahyaKO/TKO (Punch) · round 1Apr 2023
Previous meetings
  • Ricky Simon won — Decision - Unanimous, round 3 · Aug 2018
Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
Market
33%
NO

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-09-26T18:54:50.614154Z for: UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims)

polymarket/4510356 · locked 26 Sep 2026 · 18:58 UTC · Brier 0.106

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.