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Sportsdue 2026-09-26Resolved NO

Will Norma Dumont beat Ailin Perez at UFC Fight Night on 2026-09-26?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Norma Dumont defeats Ailin Perez in their scheduled bout at UFC Fight Night (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) on 2026-09-26, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Ailin Perez wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).

Source: official UFC result

Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
40%
Challenge the forecasters

Market 40%

50%

No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.

Matchup details
Weight class
W Bantamweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Sportsbook consensus
46% Norma Dumont (3 books)
DraftKings line
Norma Dumont +120 · Ailin Perez -142
Rounds over/under
2.5
Norma Dumont
13-3-0 · line +120
Last 5 fights
  • Lvs Joselyne EdwardsDecision - Unanimous · round 3Apr 2026
  • Wvs Ketlen VieiraDecision - Split · round 3Nov 2025
  • Wvs Irene AldanaDecision - Unanimous · round 3Sep 2024
  • Wvs Germaine de RandamieDecision - Unanimous · round 3Apr 2024
  • Wvs Chelsea ChandlerDecision - Unanimous · round 3Jul 2023
Ailin Perez
13-2-0 · line -142
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Macy ChiassonDecision - Unanimous · round 3Feb 2026
  • Wvs Karol RosaDecision - Unanimous · round 3Jan 2025
  • Wvs Daria ZhelezniakovaSubmission (Arm Triangle) · round 1Sep 2024
  • Wvs Joselyne EdwardsDecision - Unanimous · round 3Jun 2024
  • Wvs Lucie PudilovaDecision - Unanimous · round 3Nov 2023
Previous meetings
First meeting between these two.
Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
Market
40%
NO

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-09-26T18:52:51.962619Z for: UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

polymarket/4510394 · locked 26 Sep 2026 · 18:58 UTC · Brier 0.156

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.