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Sportsdue 2026-09-26Resolved NO

Will Vanessa Demopoulos beat Yazmin Jauregui at UFC Fight Night on 2026-09-26?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Vanessa Demopoulos defeats Yazmin Jauregui in their scheduled bout at UFC Fight Night (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) on 2026-09-26, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Yazmin Jauregui wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).

Source: official UFC result

Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
12%
Challenge the forecasters

Market 12%

50%

No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.

Matchup details
Weight class
W Strawweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Sportsbook consensus
14% Vanessa Demopoulos (3 books)
DraftKings line
Vanessa Demopoulos +625 · Yazmin Jauregui -950
Rounds over/under
2.5
Vanessa Demopoulos
11-8-0 · line +625
Last 5 fights
  • Lvs Jamey-Lyn HorthDecision - Unanimous · round 3Jun 2025
  • Lvs Talita AlencarDecision - Unanimous · round 3Apr 2025
  • Lvs Jaqueline AmorimSubmission (Armbar) · round 1Sep 2024
  • Wvs Emily DucoteDecision - Split · round 3May 2024
  • Wvs Kanako MurataDecision - Unanimous · round 3Oct 2023
Yazmin Jauregui
11-2-0 · line -950
Last 5 fights
  • Lvs Ketlen SouzaSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · round 1Sep 2024
  • Wvs Sam HughesDecision - Unanimous · round 3Feb 2024
  • Lvs Denise GomesKO/TKO (Punches) · round 1Jul 2023
  • Wvs Istela NunesKO/TKO (Punches) · round 2Dec 2022
  • Wvs Iasmin LucindoDecision - Unanimous · round 3Aug 2022
Previous meetings
First meeting between these two.
Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
Market
12%
NO

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-09-26T18:52:51.962619Z for: UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

polymarket/4510413 · locked 26 Sep 2026 · 18:58 UTC · Brier 0.013

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.