Resolves YES if Washington Nationals win their MLB game against Detroit Tigers on 2026-09-23, per mlb.com official results. Resolves NO if Detroit Tigers win. If the game is postponed with no makeup before the deadline, or is canceled/tied, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).
Source: mlb.com official results
Market 39% · GLM 36%
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Polymarket YES price as of 2026-09-23T13:28:23.182846Z for: Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers
Both teams are 74-84, but the pitching matchup favors Detroit clearly: Framber Valdez is an established high-quality starter, while Richard Lovelady is a fringe bullpen arm, likely an opener or spot starter. Starting pitching is the strongest single-game predictor, and Washington is on the road. The sportsbook implied ~40% for Washington aligns with this read; my independent assessment from the pitcher gap suggests slightly below that, since Valdez could dominate a weak Nationals lineup late in a lost season. I estimate roughly 36% for a Nationals win.
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