Resolves YES if Damian Piwowarczyk defeats Emilio Quissua in their scheduled bout at Dana White's Contender Series (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) on 2026-09-22, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Emilio Quissua wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).
Source: official UFC result
Market 56% · GLM 52%
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Polymarket YES price as of 2026-09-22T19:41:43.710293Z for: Dana White's Contender Series: Damian Piwowarczyk vs. Emilio Quissua (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Piwowarczyk holds an experience edge (15 pro fights vs 8) and has been genuinely tested, with four losses against deeper regional competition, while Quissua's 8-0 may reflect a shallower schedule. Piwowarczyk enters on a three-fight finishing streak spanning KO and submission, showing well-rounded current form. Quissua is undefeated with recent first-round knockout power, keeping this high-variance, especially at light heavyweight where one shot can end it. The three-round format slightly favors the more seasoned fighter. Net: a modest edge to Piwowarczyk, tempered by Quissua's power and unknowns around camps and condition, landing just above a coin flip.
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