Resolves YES if Patricio Pitbull defeats Dooho Choi in their scheduled bout at UFC 331 (Featherweight, Main Card) on 2026-09-19, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Dooho Choi wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).
Source: official UFC result
GLM 42% · GPT 39% · Claude 38% · Market 28%
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Choi holds momentum: three straight finishes (Santos, Landwehr, Algeo) and a clear age/trajectory edge (35 vs. Pitbull's 39, with Pitbull 1-2 in his last three, declining from his Bellator prime). However, Pitbull remains competitive against elite opposition (close loss to Yair, win over Ige), and this striker-vs-striker matchup suits him better than the wrestlers who have given him trouble; his counter power threatens a Choi side that has been hurt badly before (Swanson, Jourdain). I make Choi a modest favorite, roughly 55-58%, and shade Pitbull slightly below his implied win share for small cancellation/draw risk, landing near 0.42.
Pitbull has the deeper career résumé, but at this point form and age trend against him. His recent run is 2-3 with losses by decision and one earlier KO loss, while Choi has looked resurgent with three straight UFC stoppage wins. In a 3-round featherweight fight, Choi’s current momentum and striking danger likely outweigh Pitbull’s veteran craft. Pitbull still has a real path via experience, wrestling/control, and durability, so he is far from an underdog with no chance, but I make Choi the moderate favorite.
Pitbull (37-9) has more experience but is 2-3 in last 5 fights with a recent loss to Aaron Pico. Choi (17-4-1) is on strong form with 3 KO/TKO finishes in last 4 bouts, showing excellent finishing ability. Choi's momentum and finishing power favor him, while Pitbull appears to be in a declining phase. No previous meetings. Choi's recent form gives him the edge, making Pitbull the underdog here.
Polymarket YES price as of 2026-09-19T18:37:56.881531Z for: UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)
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